{"id":130881,"date":"2026-10-03T19:59:05","date_gmt":"2026-10-03T22:59:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.blogdopaulonunes.com\/v5\/?p=130881"},"modified":"2026-10-03T20:00:11","modified_gmt":"2026-10-03T23:00:11","slug":"pesquisa-divulgada-neste-sabado-3-e-a-ultima-antes-do-1o-turno-neste-domingo-e-foi-encomendada-pela-tv-bahia","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.blogdopaulonunes.com\/v5\/index.php\/2026\/10\/03\/pesquisa-divulgada-neste-sabado-3-e-a-ultima-antes-do-1o-turno-neste-domingo-e-foi-encomendada-pela-tv-bahia\/","title":{"rendered":"Pesquisa divulgada neste s\u00e1bado (3) \u00e9 a \u00faltima antes do 1\u00ba turno, neste domingo, e foi encomendada pela TV Bahia."},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>Pesquisa Quaest divulgada neste s\u00e1bado (3) mostra Jer\u00f4nimo Rodrigues (PT) com 52% e ACM Neto (Uni\u00e3o Brasil) com 48% dos votos v\u00e1lidos na Bahia.<span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">O levantamento, encomendado pela TV Bahia, ouviu 2.004 eleitores entre 2 e 3 de outubro. A margem de erro \u00e9 de 2 pontos percentuais.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<div class=\"mc-summary mc-column\" data-block-type=\"summary\" data-block-id=\"1\">\n<details class=\"mc-summary-card bs-block--exclude-chunk-children\">\n<div class=\"mc-summary-card__content\">\n<ul class=\"mc-summary-card__list\">\n<li class=\"mc-summary-card__item\">\n<div id=\"chunk-3nj7f\">\n<div class=\"mc-column content-text active-extra-styles \" data-block-type=\"unstyled\" data-block-weight=\"\">\n<p class=\" content-text__container \" data-track-category=\"Link no Texto\" data-track-links=\"\" data-mrf-recirculation=\"Mat\u00e9ria - Links no Texto\">Entre os eleitores consultados, 87% afirmam que a decis\u00e3o de voto \u00e9 definitiva. Outros 12% relatam que ainda podem mudar de ideia.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<\/details>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"mc-article-body\">\n<article>\n<div id=\"chunk-8220d\">\n<div class=\"row medium-uncollapsed content-media content-photo\" data-block-type=\"backstage-photo\" data-block-id=\"2\">\n<div class=\" mc-column content-media__container\">\n<div class=\"content-media-container glb-skeleton-box\">\n<figure class=\"content-media-figure\"><img class=\"i-amphtml-fill-content i-amphtml-replaced-content\" src=\"https:\/\/s2-g1.glbimg.com\/Oq62_HotKsrY6Ibfp6CGtMaYNxI=\/0x0:1700x1065\/984x0\/smart\/filters:strip_icc()\/i.s3.glbimg.com\/v1\/AUTH_59edd422c0c84a879bd37670ae4f538a\/internal_photos\/bs\/2026\/4\/T\/uruA3vRSAgrQgYiBN92g\/jero-e-acm.png\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1366px) 648px, 100vw\" srcset=\"https:\/\/s2-g1.glbimg.com\/ErLZmorMA4vRgBhz43zarYvtnXY=\/0x0:1700x1065\/1000x0\/smart\/filters:strip_icc()\/i.s3.glbimg.com\/v1\/AUTH_59edd422c0c84a879bd37670ae4f538a\/internal_photos\/bs\/2026\/4\/T\/uruA3vRSAgrQgYiBN92g\/jero-e-acm.png 1000w, https:\/\/s2-g1.glbimg.com\/Oq62_HotKsrY6Ibfp6CGtMaYNxI=\/0x0:1700x1065\/984x0\/smart\/filters:strip_icc()\/i.s3.glbimg.com\/v1\/AUTH_59edd422c0c84a879bd37670ae4f538a\/internal_photos\/bs\/2026\/4\/T\/uruA3vRSAgrQgYiBN92g\/jero-e-acm.png 984w, https:\/\/s2-g1.glbimg.com\/zGuZfvPlPjjcOw2S6EUxTaiP5xw=\/0x0:1700x1065\/640x0\/smart\/filters:strip_icc()\/i.s3.glbimg.com\/v1\/AUTH_59edd422c0c84a879bd37670ae4f538a\/internal_photos\/bs\/2026\/4\/T\/uruA3vRSAgrQgYiBN92g\/jero-e-acm.png 640w, https:\/\/s2-g1.glbimg.com\/rKQ5vlrT9YmBqcM_7DE-hanCris=\/0x0:1700x1065\/600x0\/smart\/filters:strip_icc()\/i.s3.glbimg.com\/v1\/AUTH_59edd422c0c84a879bd37670ae4f538a\/internal_photos\/bs\/2026\/4\/T\/uruA3vRSAgrQgYiBN92g\/jero-e-acm.png 600w\" alt=\"Jer\u00f4nimo Rodrigues (PT) e ACM Neto (Uni\u00e3o Brasil) \u2014 Foto: Reprodu\u00e7\u00e3o \/ TV Bahia\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"content-media__description \">Jer\u00f4nimo Rodrigues (PT) e ACM Neto (Uni\u00e3o Brasil) \u2014 Foto: Reprodu\u00e7\u00e3o \/ TV Bahia<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"chunk-7ofuk\">\n<div class=\"mc-column content-text active-extra-styles \" data-block-type=\"unstyled\" data-block-weight=\"33\" data-block-id=\"3\">\n<p class=\" content-text__container \" style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-track-category=\"Link no Texto\" data-track-links=\"\" data-mrf-recirculation=\"Mat\u00e9ria - Links no Texto\">Pesquisa Quaest divulgada neste s\u00e1bado (3), v\u00e9spera do 1\u00ba turno, mostra como est\u00e1 a disputa pelo governo da Bahia. H\u00e1 empate t\u00e9cnico entre <a class=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/g1.globo.com\/tudo-sobre\/jeronimo-rodrigues\/\" data-mrf-link=\"https:\/\/g1.globo.com\/tudo-sobre\/jeronimo-rodrigues\/\">Jer\u00f4nimo Rodrigues<\/a> (<a class=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/g1.globo.com\/politica\/partido\/pt\/\" data-mrf-link=\"https:\/\/g1.globo.com\/politica\/partido\/pt\/\">PT<\/a>) e <a class=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/g1.globo.com\/tudo-sobre\/acm-neto\/\" data-mrf-link=\"https:\/\/g1.globo.com\/tudo-sobre\/acm-neto\/\">ACM Neto<\/a> (<a class=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/g1.globo.com\/politica\/partido\/uniao-brasil\/\" data-mrf-link=\"https:\/\/g1.globo.com\/politica\/partido\/uniao-brasil\/\">Uni\u00e3o Brasil<\/a>).<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"wall protected-content\">\n<div id=\"chunk-avitg\">\n<div class=\"mc-column content-text active-extra-styles\" data-block-type=\"raw\" data-block-weight=\"16\" data-block-id=\"5\">\n<ul class=\"content-unordered-list\" data-mrf-recirculation=\"Mat\u00e9ria - Leia Tamb\u00e9m (Lista)\">\n<li><a class=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/g1.globo.com\/politica\/eleicoes\/2026\/pesquisa-eleitoral\/governador-ba-1-turno-quaest\/\" data-mrf-link=\"https:\/\/g1.globo.com\/politica\/eleicoes\/2026\/pesquisa-eleitoral\/governador-ba-1-turno-quaest\/\">Veja as pesquisas eleitorais para governador na Bahia<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/g1.globo.com\/politica\/eleicoes\/2026\/pesquisa-eleitoral\/senador-ba-1-turno-quaest\/\" data-mrf-link=\"https:\/\/g1.globo.com\/politica\/eleicoes\/2026\/pesquisa-eleitoral\/senador-ba-1-turno-quaest\/\">Veja as pesquisas eleitorais para senador na Bahia<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"chunk-2v591\">\n<div class=\"mc-column content-text active-extra-styles\" data-block-type=\"raw\" data-block-weight=\"2\" data-block-id=\"6\">\n<div class=\"content-intertitle\">\n<h2>Votos v\u00e1lidos<\/h2>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"chunk-7mhbj\">\n<div class=\"mc-column content-text active-extra-styles\" data-block-type=\"raw\" data-block-weight=\"25\" data-block-id=\"7\">\n<ul class=\"content-unordered-list\" data-mrf-recirculation=\"Mat\u00e9ria - Leia Tamb\u00e9m (Lista)\">\n<li>Jer\u00f4nimo Rodrigues (PT): 52%<\/li>\n<li>ACM Neto (Uni\u00e3o Brasil): 48%<\/li>\n<li>Ariel Capistrano (DC): 0<\/li>\n<li>Aroldo Felix (UP): 0<\/li>\n<li>Maria Bona (<a class=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/g1.globo.com\/politica\/partido\/pco\/\" data-mrf-link=\"https:\/\/g1.globo.com\/politica\/partido\/pco\/\">PCO<\/a>): 0<\/li>\n<li>Ronaldo Mansur (<a class=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/g1.globo.com\/politica\/partido\/psol\/\" data-mrf-link=\"https:\/\/g1.globo.com\/politica\/partido\/psol\/\">PSOL<\/a>): 0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"chunk-nibo\">\n<div class=\"mc-column content-text active-extra-styles\" data-block-type=\"raw\" data-block-weight=\"5\" data-block-id=\"8\">\n<div class=\"content-intertitle\">\n<h2>O que s\u00e3o votos v\u00e1lidos?<\/h2>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"chunk-bf8s6\">\n<div class=\"mc-column content-text active-extra-styles \" data-block-type=\"unstyled\" data-block-weight=\"47\" data-block-id=\"9\">\n<p class=\" content-text__container \" style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-track-category=\"Link no Texto\" data-track-links=\"\" data-mrf-recirculation=\"Mat\u00e9ria - Links no Texto\">\u00c9 a forma como o TSE divulga o resultado oficial das elei\u00e7\u00f5es. S\u00e3o os votos dados nos candidatos. Esse c\u00e1lculo deixa de fora os votos em branco e nulos e absten\u00e7\u00f5es. Para vencer no 1\u00ba turno, um candidato precisa de 50% dos votos v\u00e1lidos mais um voto.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"chunk-8mkfm\">\n<div class=\"mc-column content-text active-extra-styles\" data-block-type=\"raw\" data-block-weight=\"7\" data-block-id=\"11\">\n<div class=\"content-intertitle\">\n<h2>Como a Quaest calcula os votos v\u00e1lidos?<\/h2>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"chunk-6rla2\">\n<div class=\"mc-column content-text active-extra-styles \" data-block-type=\"unstyled\" data-block-weight=\"36\" data-block-id=\"12\">\n<p class=\" content-text__container \" style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-track-category=\"Link no Texto\" data-track-links=\"\" data-mrf-recirculation=\"Mat\u00e9ria - Links no Texto\">A Quaest leva em considera\u00e7\u00e3o as inten\u00e7\u00f5es de voto da pesquisa e o perfil de comparecimento para estimar os votos v\u00e1lidos. \u00c9 o modelo <em>likely voter<\/em>, <a class=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/g1.globo.com\/politica\/eleicoes\/2026\/videos\/noticia\/2026\/08\/20\/video-entenda-quem-e-o-eleitor-provavel-e-como-a-pesquisa-quaest-aplica-o-conceito-de-likely-voter.ghtml\" data-mrf-link=\"https:\/\/g1.globo.com\/politica\/eleicoes\/2026\/videos\/noticia\/2026\/08\/20\/video-entenda-quem-e-o-eleitor-provavel-e-como-a-pesquisa-quaest-aplica-o-conceito-de-likely-voter.ghtml\">que considera eleitores com maior propens\u00e3o a votar<\/a>.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"chunk-49vv\">\n<div class=\"mc-column content-text active-extra-styles \" data-block-type=\"unstyled\" data-block-weight=\"57\" data-block-id=\"13\">\n<p class=\" content-text__container \" style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-track-category=\"Link no Texto\" data-track-links=\"\" data-mrf-recirculation=\"Mat\u00e9ria - Links no Texto\">O levantamento foi encomendado pela TV Bahia e ouviu 2.004 eleitores de 16 anos ou mais, entre os dias 2 e 3 de outubro. A margem de erro \u00e9 de dois pontos percentuais, para mais ou para menos. O n\u00edvel de confian\u00e7a \u00e9 de 95%. A pesquisa foi registrada na Justi\u00e7a Eleitoral sob o n\u00famero BA-02224\/2026.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"chunk-1dj1i\">\n<div class=\"mc-column content-text active-extra-styles\" data-block-type=\"raw\" data-block-weight=\"2\" data-block-id=\"14\">\n<div class=\"content-intertitle\">\n<h2>Votos totais<\/h2>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"chunk-efjca\">\n<div class=\"mc-column content-text active-extra-styles \" data-block-type=\"unstyled\" data-block-weight=\"16\" data-block-id=\"15\">\n<p class=\" content-text__container \" data-track-category=\"Link no Texto\" data-track-links=\"\" data-mrf-recirculation=\"Mat\u00e9ria - Links no Texto\">Veja agora o resultado com os votos totais, incluindo votos em branco, nulos e eleitores indecisos.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"chunk-4v963\">\n<div class=\"mc-column content-text active-extra-styles\" data-block-type=\"raw\" data-block-weight=\"53\" data-block-id=\"16\">\n<ul class=\"content-unordered-list\" data-mrf-recirculation=\"Mat\u00e9ria - Leia Tamb\u00e9m (Lista)\">\n<li>Jer\u00f4nimo Rodrigues (PT): 46% (eram 40% em 24 de setembro)<\/li>\n<li>ACM Neto (Uni\u00e3o Brasil): 42% (eram 42%)<\/li>\n<li>Ronaldo Mansur (PSOL): 1% (era 0)<\/li>\n<li>Aroldo Felix (UP): 0 (era 0)<\/li>\n<li>Maria Bona (PCO): 0 (era 1%)<\/li>\n<li>Ariel Capistrano (DC): 0 (era 0)<\/li>\n<li>Indecisos: 5% (eram 9%)<\/li>\n<li>Branco\/ nulo\/ n\u00e3o vai votar: 6% (eram 8%)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"chunk-1oitr\">\n<div class=\"mc-column content-text active-extra-styles\" data-block-type=\"raw\" data-block-weight=\"2\" data-block-id=\"17\">\n<div class=\"content-intertitle\">\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\">Pesquisa espont\u00e2nea<\/h2>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"chunk-d8i23\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">\n<div class=\"mc-column content-text active-extra-styles \" data-block-type=\"unstyled\" data-block-weight=\"18\" data-block-id=\"18\">\n<p class=\" content-text__container \" data-track-category=\"Link no Texto\" data-track-links=\"\" data-mrf-recirculation=\"Mat\u00e9ria - Links no Texto\">Veja agora a pesquisa espont\u00e2nea, em que os eleitores respondem sem ter acesso a uma lista de candidatos.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"chunk-c59og\">\n<div class=\"mc-column content-text active-extra-styles \" data-block-type=\"unstyled\" data-block-weight=\"36\" data-block-id=\"19\">\n<p class=\" content-text__container \" style=\"text-align: justify;\" data-track-category=\"Link no Texto\" data-track-links=\"\" data-mrf-recirculation=\"Mat\u00e9ria - Links no Texto\">Esses resultados ajudam a medir o grau de consolida\u00e7\u00e3o do voto. Quanto maior o n\u00famero de indecisos na v\u00e9spera, menos consolidado est\u00e1 o voto e maior a possibilidade de mudan\u00e7as em rela\u00e7\u00e3o ao resultado de domingo.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Pesquisa Quaest divulgada neste s\u00e1bado (3) mostra Jer\u00f4nimo Rodrigues (PT) com 52% e ACM Neto (Uni\u00e3o Brasil) com 48% dos votos v\u00e1lidos na Bahia.O levantamento, encomendado pela TV Bahia, ouviu 2.004 eleitores entre 2 e 3 de outubro. A margem de erro \u00e9 de 2 pontos percentuais. Entre os eleitores consultados, 87% afirmam que a [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":130152,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[22,71],"tags":[437,138,1952,165,166],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blogdopaulonunes.com\/v5\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/130881"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blogdopaulonunes.com\/v5\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blogdopaulonunes.com\/v5\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blogdopaulonunes.com\/v5\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blogdopaulonunes.com\/v5\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=130881"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.blogdopaulonunes.com\/v5\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/130881\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":130882,"href":"https:\/\/www.blogdopaulonunes.com\/v5\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/130881\/revisions\/130882"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blogdopaulonunes.com\/v5\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/130152"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blogdopaulonunes.com\/v5\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=130881"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blogdopaulonunes.com\/v5\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=130881"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blogdopaulonunes.com\/v5\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=130881"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}